Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 91.884505 104.943156 120.238799 139.755613 164.415650 195.142872 2.373494e+02
2024-10-20 74.455500 90.589985 111.493575 141.559844 185.576950 251.214722 3.649347e+02
2024-10-27 63.367619 80.199271 103.465809 139.790297 199.088186 301.467769 5.219039e+02
2024-11-03 58.285982 76.341568 102.782339 147.352633 228.462327 392.810817 8.587292e+02
2024-11-10 56.671294 76.841907 108.193954 165.627315 284.215859 579.816305 1.880505e+03
2024-11-17 51.877964 71.719613 103.626871 165.037583 302.356633 698.013634 3.279457e+03
2024-11-24 47.952736 67.374705 99.517715 164.096997 319.347274 835.545777 6.429629e+03
2024-12-01 44.226454 62.887899 94.443074 159.958758 326.789011 954.077770 1.336571e+04
2024-12-08 41.447463 59.647677 91.098607 158.647911 341.554388 1134.078795 4.935733e+04
2024-12-15 39.340309 57.307460 89.052561 159.687303 364.108748 1412.060130 8.960645e+07
2024-12-22 36.798478 53.989292 84.764874 154.717161 365.718512 1577.524590 NaN
2024-12-29 35.997010 53.608601 86.024190 163.160488 418.401742 2368.137279 NaN
2025-01-05 33.401902 50.014968 80.905236 155.681776 412.163313 2631.913320 NaN
2025-01-12 31.968334 48.415260 79.657935 158.108260 449.428866 3898.136478 NaN
2025-01-19 30.295185 46.233910 76.954324 156.072248 467.157301 5276.636776 NaN
2025-01-26 29.668956 45.918500 78.091527 165.017110 547.935932 12414.957625 NaN
2025-02-02 29.912238 47.248859 82.961368 186.775909 739.569598 269841.063278 NaN
2025-02-09 28.652680 45.563570 80.860820 186.070603 786.941640 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 27.483799 43.967152 78.781273 184.945719 832.898628 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.202591 42.061694 75.786274 180.003392 841.953500 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.206923 40.663704 73.857549 178.440224 883.692222 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.431626 39.657723 72.763722 179.679593 960.387589 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.360780 37.988481 69.909671 173.759785 950.814291 NaN NaN